Nothing is more dangerous than a dogmatic worldview . . . the AGW Debate Part 1

The quote from Stephen Jay Gould,

“Nothing is more dangerous than a dogmatic worldview – nothing more constraining, more blinding to innovation, more destructive of openness to novelty”
 

was originally written in reference to religion and the dogma of religious extremism, but it is equally (and almost more) applicable to the increasingly shady world of Global Warming, as I have come to realise in recent months.

This is a difficult issue for me – I am a trained Chemical Engineer and spent a good deal of time as an undergraduate looking at the impacts of global warming and at options for renewable energy – I obtained 85% in my second year dissertation on renewable energy and the need to look at a variety of options to reduce reliance on fossil fuels due to their impact on the environment.

In my daily life I get involved (albeit indirectly) with preparation of Environmental Impact Assessments, much of which centres on emissions to atmosphere.  It therefore came as a quite a shock to learn that there is no such thing as mankind-induced Global Warming.

Let me repeat that . . . there is no such thing as mankind-induced Global Warming.

I don’t pretend to understand all the science or have read all the arguments but I have seen and read enough in recent months to be convinced.

The whole business of Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW as it is known) has snowballed (if you’ll pardon the oxymoron) from some fairly shaky beginnings into predictions of an impending global catastrophe shrouded in false claims, warnings of apocalyptic doom, irrelevant anecdotal evidence and general hype that now engulfs the whole planet and all the major governments of the World (and the EU).

Firstly let’s debunk the common anecdotal statements about extremes of weather.

The media are always keen to point out that a particular month was the wettest recorded, or the hottest recorded, or the driest recorded.  We are bombarded with images of tornadoes, floods, fires etc. all of which imply that AGW is to blame. THIS IS NONSENSE.

“Records began” little more than 100 years ago – in the history of the world that is nothing.  Humans have been around for 250,000 years and the Earth for 4.5 billion, so to imply that these weather events are ‘extreme’ because nothing so bad has happened in the last 135 years is pure folly.

To put this into perspective, if you measured the history of the World in terms of the height of the room you are in, with Earth’s formation being at the ceiling and today being the floor, the time humans have been on the Earth is equivalent to the width of a human hair sitting on the floor.

Or put another way, if you imagine the history of the world compressed into 24 hours, “since records began” would be the last 2.6 milliseconds.  Are we really going to say that those 2.6 milliseconds are representative of the rest of history?

So let’s stop believing the hype of ‘extreme’ weather and start to recognise that we don’t know everything about world weather patterns.

Part 2 (tomorrow) will talk more about the flawed basis of the AGW analysis and how we’ve got to the position we are in right now . . .

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