Shock Horror!

Roger Helmer MEP

UKIP Energy Spokesman backs IPCC position


In its Third Assessment Report, 2001, the IPCC stated: “In sum, a strategy must recognise what is possible. In climate research and modelling, we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”  My emphasis.  IPCC’s Working Group I: The Scientific Basis, Third Assessment Report (TAR), Chapter 14 (final para.,, p774, if you want to check it out. And I agree with that statement.

There we have it in black and white.  The nature of the climate is such that we cannot make long-term predictions.  Note that this is not simply an absence of data, so that perhaps we could hope that by 2014 we should have filled the gaps and learned how to make long-term forecasts.  No.  It says that because of…

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