Firstly my thoughts are with the survivors and families of those who lost their lives in Mondays terror attack – when will the people in power grasp the nettle and do something about these attacks?
The time for platitudes and promises is over, concrete action is needed to stop the spread of this cancer across the UK.
What I actually wanted to comment on today is the amount of joy I’m seeing on twitter and Facebook about the apparent demise of UKIP, as our projected vote share has fallen well below that of the LibDems for the first time in years.
Interestingly this joy is all coming from the Liberal Left, rarely from the Conservatives, and you would be mistaken for therefore believing that all those former UKIP voters are now going to vote LibDem or Labour.
Of course the massive irony here is that these people don’t realise it was thanks to UKIP that many Lib/Lab MPs were elected in 2015 and that in large parts of the Country we are far better placed as an alternative to the Tories than they will ever be.
This will become crushingly apparent after June 8th when large swathes of UKIP voters go Blue and as a result cause Labour in particular to lose a significant number of seats.
Here’s an info graphic I spotted on Twitter recently highlighting what might happen;
“Lack of UKIP” will also help the Tories retain seats where others might have thought their chances were good.
The biggest folly of the Liberal Left is believing that the 48% of people who voted Remain will be dissatisfied with May and are ‘up for grabs’.
In my experience, most people were genuinely unsure about which way to go with the Referendum as in their eyes it came down to a toss-up between “better the devil you know” and “Project Fear” on one side and a fight for “autonomy and control of our own destiny (regardless of the outcome)” on the other. They made a decision one way or the other but without a strong conviction either way.
Naturally Party activists and those closely involved with either side of the argument were strongly in favour, one way or the other, but I think most people are satisfied with the process, satisfied that they had their say, understanding of what democracy means and happy to accept the outcome – especially as the much feted financial meltdown hasn’t occurred.
Voters will therefore (for the most part) revert to type and continue to support the side that they have been inclined to support in recent years. My prediction for the outcome is therefore;